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Modelling Colombo consumer price index: a vector autoregressive approach

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dc.contributor.author Alibuhtto, M.C
dc.date.accessioned 2016-03-17T05:22:21Z
dc.date.available 2016-03-17T05:22:21Z
dc.date.issued 2014-10
dc.identifier.citation Journal of management Volume XI No. pp 74-81. 1 October 2014 en_US
dc.identifier.issn 1391-8230
dc.identifier.uri http://ir.lib.seu.ac.lk/handle/123456789/1423
dc.description.abstract The consumer price index measures changes in the price level of consumer goods and services purchased by households, which reflect inflation. Various studies have been conducted to modelling and forecasting Consumer Price Index (CPI) by developed countries . However, such studies have not been reported in Sri Lanka. This paper is an attempt to modelling the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI) by using monthly CCPI data from January 2003 to May 2011. For this purpose, Stepwise Regression, Principal Component Analysis and Vector Autoregressive (VAR) approach were used. The VAR model with the first principal component of selected CCPI components was identified the best fitted model for the CCPI series. The model was also tested to an independent data set using CCPI from February 2010 to May 2011. en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher Faculty of Management and Commerce South Eastern University of Sri Lanka Oluvil # 32360 Sri Lanka en_US
dc.subject CCPI en_US
dc.subject Inflation en_US
dc.subject Modelling en_US
dc.subject VAR en_US
dc.title Modelling Colombo consumer price index: a vector autoregressive approach en_US
dc.type Article en_US


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